Weighted Outcomes Simulator — EVs + KDEs

# Outcome Value Weight (%)
Theoretical EV (per run):
Theoretical EV (per experiment):
Theoretical EV (total):
Empirical EV (per run):
Empirical EV (per experiment):
Empirical EV (total):
Note. Distribution of single-run outcomes across all draws. Each draw is one random realization of an outcome. Light gray = histogram; blue = smoothed KDE.
Note. Distribution of experiment totals — each experiment aggregates all R runs. Light gray = histogram; red = smoothed KDE.
Note. Running cumulative mean across experiments — shows convergence of the average experiment outcome toward its expected value as E grows. A gray horizontal line marks the theoretical EV per experiment; left-axis labels show scale.